Exit Poll Party-ID: Sanders vs. Clinton

#BernieSanders #FeelTheBern #OurRevolution #BernieOrBust #JillStein {#Clinton #Trump} #MSMbias #DNC #ElectionFraud #ExitPolls

Richard Charnin's Blog

Richard Charnin
July 17,  2016

Richard CharninMatrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries

This analysis is based on the official adjusted exit poll vote shares.
The model calculates Sanders vs. Clinton vote shares based on Party-ID shares:

1) 25 adjusted exit polls and 2 entrance polls (IA and NV).
2) Base Case Party-ID assumption: 55% Independents/ 45% Democrats.

Based on these conservative assumptions ( Independents currently outnumber Democrats and Republicans by approximately 45-30-25%), Sanders wins by 56-44%, the average of the 25 exit and 2 entrance polls which were forced to match the recorded vote.

Sanders does 3-5% better if unadjusted exit polls (close to the True Vote) are used.

Sensitivity Analysis I:
1-Sanders has 45% of Democrats
2-Independents range from…

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