2016 Election Model Forecast

#BernieSanders #FeelTheBern #JillStein #JillNotHill {#Clinton #Trump} #MSMbias #Election2016 #WikiLeaks #Poll real

Richard Charnin's Blog

Richard Charnin
Nov. 7, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Unlike corporate mainstream polls, the 2016 Election Model provides two forecasts:  the Recorded Vote and the True Vote. Pollsters are usually quite accurate in their projections of the Recorded Vote. But they avoid the fraud factor. The fraudulent Recorded Vote is never the same as the True Vote.

The Election Model forecasts:
Recorded Vote: Clinton wins  by  the 9-poll average 45.8-43.3% (298-240 EV) 
True Vote: Trump wins after adjustments for Gallup weights and undecided voters by 48.5-44.3%  ( 367-171 expected EV).

The  Election Model  is based on the effects of changes in party affiliation (Dem, Rep, Ind) from 2012 to 2016. The polls are adjusted to Gallup party-affiliation survey

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